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              Probability of Candidate Winning State
                          If the election were held:  November 3    
                  

State	Ahead	Probability of Winning	Electoral Votes
Missouri	McCain	57%	11
North Carolina	Obama	58%	15
Indiana	McCain	68%	11
Florida	Obama	92%	27
Ohio	Obama	99%	20
Nevada	Obama	90%	5
Colorado	Obama	99%	9
Virginia	Obama	99%	13
Minnesota	Obama	99%	10
New Hampshire	Obama	99%	4
Wisconsin	Obama	99%	10
Pennsylvania	Obama	99%	21
Michigan	Obama	99%	17
Alabama	McCain	99%	9
Alaska	McCain	99%	3
Arizona	McCain	99%	10
California	Obama	99%	55
Connecticut	Obama	99%	7
Delaware	Obama	99%	3
D.C.	Obama	99%	3
Georgia	McCain	99%	15
Hawaii	Obama	99%	4
Idaho	McCain	99%	4
Illinois	Obama	99%	21
Iowa	Obama	99%	7
Kansas	McCain	99%	6
Kentucky	McCain	99%	8
Louisiana	McCain	99%	9
Maine	Obama	99%	4
Maryland	Obama	99%	10
Massachussetts	Obama	99%	12
Mississippi	McCain	99%	6
Montana	McCain	99%	3
Nebraska	McCain	99%	5
New Jersey	McCain	99%	15
New Mexico	Obama	99%	5
New York	Obama	99%	31
North Dakota	McCain	99%	3
Oklahoma	McCain	99%	7
Oregon	Obama	99%	7
Rhode Island	Obama	99%	4
South Carolina	McCain	99%	8
South Dakota	McCain	99%	3
Tennessee	McCain	99%	11
Texas	McCain	99%	34
Utah	McCain	99%	5
Vermont	Obama	99%	3
Washington	Obama	99%	11
West Virginia	McCain	99%	5
Wyoming	McCain	99%	3