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              Probability of Candidate Winning State
                          
If the election were held:  November 3    
                  
State Ahead Probability of Winning Electoral Votes
Missouri McCain  57% 11
North Carolina Obama 58% 15
Indiana McCain 68% 11
Florida Obama 92% 27
Ohio Obama 99% 20
Nevada Obama 90% 5
Colorado Obama 99% 9
Virginia Obama 99% 13
Minnesota Obama 99% 10
New Hampshire Obama 99% 4
Wisconsin Obama 99% 10
Pennsylvania Obama 99% 21
Michigan Obama 99% 17
Alabama McCain 99% 9
Alaska McCain 99% 3
Arizona McCain 99% 10
California Obama 99% 55
Connecticut Obama 99% 7
Delaware Obama 99% 3
D.C. Obama 99% 3
Georgia McCain 99% 15
Hawaii Obama 99% 4
Idaho McCain 99% 4
Illinois Obama 99% 21
Iowa Obama 99% 7
Kansas McCain 99% 6
Kentucky McCain 99% 8
Louisiana McCain 99% 9
Maine Obama 99% 4
Maryland Obama 99% 10
Massachussetts Obama 99% 12
Mississippi McCain 99% 6
Montana McCain 99% 3
Nebraska McCain 99% 5
New Jersey McCain 99% 15
New Mexico Obama 99% 5
New York Obama 99% 31
North Dakota McCain 99% 3
Oklahoma McCain 99% 7
Oregon Obama 99% 7
Rhode Island Obama 99% 4
South Carolina McCain 99% 8
South Dakota McCain 99% 3
Tennessee McCain 99% 11
Texas McCain 99% 34
Utah McCain 99% 5
Vermont Obama 99% 3
Washington Obama 99% 11
West Virginia McCain 99% 5
Wyoming McCain 99% 3